Issued by CEMO Center - Paris
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Iran Supplies Drones to Russia: A Growing Partnership to Watch Amidst Conflict with Ukraine

Sunday 19/February/2023 - 02:35 PM
The Reference
Ahmed seif eldin
طباعة

In the wake of Russia's offense in Ukraine, Iran has reportedly supplied Russia with unmanned aerial vehicles to fight Ukraine. Moscow used the Iranian-made drones to target critical infrastructure and Ukrainian cities, helping to knock out roughly half the country's power, and to exhaust Ukrainian resources, allowing the Russians to preserve their own.

While Russia and Iran have a tumultuous history of distrust and betrayal, they have discovered that the other has much to offer. Despite their current relationship being more like a business partnership, Iran and Russia have grown adept at compartmentalizing different facets of their relationship to ensure they can partner when it suits them.

The partnership between the two nations could prove highly effective as their ties span the economic, political, and military spheres. For centuries, the Iranian-Russian relationship has been plagued by animosity and outright conflict.

 They fought wars sporadically from when they first made diplomatic contact in the sixteenth century through the eighteenth century. Then, from 1804 to 1813 and again from 1826 to 1828, the two states faced off in sizable conflicts over the control of disputed territories in the South Caucasus. With the fall of the Soviet Union, the relationship between Iran and Russia deepened further. The two governments boosted military ties, and by 2000, Iran was the third-largest market for Russian weapons. In 2007, Russia promised to sell Tehran the S-300 missile defense system.

Trade ties, political relations, high-level exchanges, and security cooperation kept increasing, especially after Russia annexed Crimea in 2014. But the two states still remained wary partners, with Iran believing that Russia dragged its feet in delivering supplies for its Bushehr power plant and in delivering the S-300 system. Even the countries' cooperation in Syria has been complicated. After Russia invaded Ukraine, Iranian-Russian collaboration ascended to new heights. The two countries conducted multiple high-level meetings and deepened their economic ties. Iranian-Russian cooperation is not yet an official alliance, but it could prove highly effective if they continue to work together when their interests align ..was suspended. With Biden now in the White House, the two countries’ desire to counterbalance the United States is stronger than ever.

While Iran and Russia may still have their differences and concerns, they have found common ground in their opposition to the United States and its allies. They see themselves as targets of US sanctions and interference, and they believe that by working together, they can better resist Western pressure. They also share a vision of a world order that is more multipolar, with greater autonomy for states and less domination by great powers. Iran and Russia are not the only states that feel this way, but their shared experience of isolation and marginalization has given them a unique bond.

The partnership between Iran and Russia is not without risks, however. Both countries have been accused of supporting extremist groups and conducting cyber-attacks against other countries. They are also in a vulnerable position in the international system, with few reliable allies and many potential adversaries. The more they work together, the more they may become targets of joint countermeasures by other powers, particularly the United States.

In the end, the Iran-Russia axis may be less a strategic alliance than a tactical maneuver. Both countries are pursuing their own interests, and they will not hesitate to diverge if their calculations change. But for now, their partnership is allowing them to achieve their goals and assert their influence in the Middle East, Central Asia, and beyond. As long as they continue to find mutual benefits in their cooperation, they will remain an odd couple to watch.


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