Will the United States renege on its position of withdrawal from Afghanistan?
August 15, 2021 constituted a turning point in the history
of Afghanistan and the history of US military intervention abroad, especially
in the volatile security areas that Washington considers a source of danger to
its security. Although the withdrawal was not sudden, as the current US
administration claims, the strange way in which it was carried out sparked a
state of controversy at the time among observers because of the chaos that
accompanied the withdrawal and the lack of clarity of vision. Recently, the
United States has admitted that the situation did not go well, so will
Washington review its position on the decision?
Admission of failure
The White House revealed secret documents on Thursday, April
6, about the process of withdrawing from Afghanistan. In its report that it
submitted to Congress after reviewing the results of the withdrawal, it
acknowledged the failure of the US intelligence services. The report claimed
that it did not expect the hardline Taliban movement to take control of the
country so quickly after 20 years of US intervention and support of the former
Afghan government.
The recently disclosed confidential documents considered
that the United States was defeated in Afghanistan after more than 20 years of
operating on Afghan soil and losses amounting to more than $2 trillion.
The report blamed the administration of former US President
Donald Trump, stressing that his administration left the departure to the Biden
administration after setting a date for withdrawal without developing a plan
clarifying the implementation mechanism and the following scenarios for
withdrawal.
The report also cited the failure to plan for the
withdrawal, as a suicide attack carried out by ISIS during the withdrawal
process resulted in the killing of 13 American soldiers and 170 Afghans in the
vicinity of the crowded airport during the military air bridge that was aimed
at evacuating those who collaborated with the United States, at a time that
witnessed the evacuation of more than 120,000 people in just a few days.
Trump’s response
However, former President Trump did not acknowledge the
report, viewing it as deception from the current administration. He considered
that current President Joe Biden bears sole responsibility for the failure
withdrawing from Afghanistan, adding that they blame him for their disastrous
surrender in Afghanistan and accusing Biden of being solely responsible for
that disaster.
Contrasting reality
Although the documents released by the current US
administration did not bring anything secret or new, except for describing the
reality of the withdrawal process and its effects on the ground, they concealed
other matters that were not hidden from anyone, namely the relationship of the
United States with the Taliban, which extended for more than three years of
direct interaction between the two parties during rounds of direct negotiations
with the leaders of the movement and ended with the agreement that took place
between the two parties in the Qatari capital, Doha, before the withdrawal and
did not give any value to the previous Afghan government headed by Ashraf
Ghani.
In addition, the terms of the agreement between the two
parties were more explicit in Washington’s desire to hand over the reins of
power to the Taliban immediately after the withdrawal and to give the movement
the green light to seize power.
Regarding these differences between the Biden and Trump
administrations and the extent to which Washington could back down from the
decision to withdraw, Mohamed Abadi, a researcher in international affairs,
said in exclusive statements to the Reference that it is unlikely Washington
will renege on its withdrawal, as the United States is reviewing its accounts
and its military interventions abroad have begun to recede due to its heavy
losses, and therefore it is not It is easy to do so at the moment.
Abadi added that the current US administration completely
refuses to send a new generation of US forces to fight a new war in
Afghanistan, indicating that the Biden administration has no choice but to
maintain the current situation.