Russia puts Euro-American alliance on collective security system to curtail Iran
Trump's policy toward the Middle East has led to a sharp
dispute between the United States and Europe over Iran. While the Trump
administration withdrew from the nuclear deal and imposed severe economic
sanctions on the mullahs, the EU states believe in the values and principles of
diplomacy and methods of international cooperation based on global economic
organizations.
A political clash appeared during the European Union’s hesitation
to support the United States’ call to form an alliance to confront Iran in the
Arabian Gulf, while European countries continue to suffer from unregulated unilateral
US policies. Likewise, Russia presented an initiative to the Security Council
aiming to establish a stable security system that takes into account the
interests of all parties.
The following are the main determinants of the
European-American alliance against Iran, and the possibility of its success or
failure, with an analysis of the goals of the Russian initiative to spread the
concept of collective security in the Gulf, as well as the position of political
currents within Iran.
European-American alliance in the face of Iran
The US administration, represented by Secretary of State
Mike Pompeo, has proposed an alliance with European countries to regulate
navigation in the Gulf in the face of Iran, but many analysts point out that
President Donald Trump is trying to take a path between military threats and
diplomatic engagement, but he doesn’t stick to either. While he warns that
there is always a chance for conflict, he urges negotiations, with no clear plan
for either.
Despite the strained relations between Tehran and European
countries, the latter remains committed to the nuclear deal, insisting that the
United States should retreat from its decision to withdraw from the agreement
and the commitment of all international parties alike. French President Emmanuel
Macron said that the Trump administration had tense relations with the mullah
regime, but on the other hand he did not set specific objectives for
negotiations and offered no incentives for Tehran to start talks.
Therefore, there is great European reluctance to participate
in any coalition led by the United States, against the backdrop of fear of
Washington's exploitation of the international collective action to achieve its
own goals of deterring Tehran and forcing it to sit at the negotiating table,
as well as reducing any threat to its role and regional influence in the Middle
East.
Russian initiative of the concept of collective security
Tension has become a feature of the Gulf region in
particular and the Middle East in general, which negatively affects security,
political and economic stability in the region and the world, as well as the
proliferation of hotbeds of tension and armed conflicts recently.
Hence, Russia put forward the idea of establishing a
security system in the Gulf to strengthen the political and diplomatic efforts
in this region. The system to be established depends on a set of principles:
1. Combining all stakeholders interested in eliminating the
epicenter of extremism and terrorism in the Middle East into a single alliance
to combat all terrorist groups and organizations under the auspices of the
United Nations and international law, including a settlement of disputes.
2. Mobilizing public opinion within Muslim countries in the
Middle East and other countries in order to collectively address the threat of
terrorism.
3. Compliance with the rules of international law, including
the obligation of all parties to international law, the Charter of the United
Nations and the resolutions of the United Nations Security Council in the first
place, with a view towards a democratic and prosperous Middle East that
promotes peace and coexistence among religions.
4. Preventing the sending of peacemaking operations, except
on the basis of relevant resolutions of the United Nations Security Council or
at the request of the legitimate authorities of the attacked state, which
prevents the existence of double standards in the solution of a single case.
5. Globalism and inclusiveness. The security system in the
Gulf region must be global and comprehensive, including respect for the
interests of all regional and other interested parties in all areas of
security, including their military, economic and energy dimensions, and should
take full account of the need for humanitarian assistance to the countries and
peoples of the region, with a view to addressing conflict situations and
stabilizing societies.
Multilateralism is a good mechanism for stakeholder
participation in the joint assessment of the status and decision-making process
and implementation, including the exclusion of any interested party for any
reason.
Iranian position on the US-European escalation
Despite Tehran's detention of British oil tankers and the
escalating threats to Washington, it is trying to offer some opportunities to
improve its relationship with these parties to calm the conflict, which was
seen in the welcoming of the Russian initiative for collective security in the
Gulf.
This was also reflected in two successive positions by the
Iranian government, the first by Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad
Zarif's initiative to ratify the Additional Protocol, which allows IAEA
inspectors the largest number of ways to ensure the peacefulness of Iran's
nuclear program in return for lifting economic sanctions imposed by the United
States.
Zarif wanted to test the internal public opinion about this
proposal in Iran, especially the Majlis (Iran’s parliament), which is supposed
to ratify it, but it was rejected categorically by some agencies and internal
groups, especially some MPs.
The second position was the renewed calls for negotiations
with the United States, especially among Iran’s fundamentalist conservatives.
This was reflected in the dialogue held by former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
with the New York Times in which he called for negotiations with the current US
administration to settle the issue of Iran's nuclear program.
Conclusion
All of the above indicates the desire of the conservative
movement inside Tehran to point out that the call to negotiate with the United
States is not exclusive to the moderate trend. A large part of the negotiations
that led to the conclusion of the Iranian nuclear agreement was in the final
days of hardline Iranian President Ahmadinejad’s term.
On the other hand, these calls refer to the deteriorating
situation experienced by the Iranian economy after the departure of foreign
multinationals from Tehran against the backdrop of economic sanctions following
the US decision to withdraw from the nuclear agreement.