Three scenarios decide war in the Gulf as Iran arms its groups and US sends its forces
The Wall confrontation between Washington and Tehran, especially after the latter moved Street Journal stated on WedStatements from the Trump administration on Wednesday, December 4 about sending more American forces to counter Iranian threats in the Gulf have raised questions about the prospect of
missiles to Iraq.
nesday that Washington is considering sending 14,000 soldiers to
the Middle East, noting that the plan to send American forces to the region
aims to deter any possible Iranian response to US sanctions.
The move comes as US officials announced that the missile
destroyer USS Forrest Sherman found parts of missiles believed to belong to
Iran in the Gulf of Oman, at a time when the administration of President Donald
Trump is pressuring Tehran to limit its regional activities.
According to preliminary
information, one of the officials said the weapons were destined for
Iran-allied Houthi fighters in Yemen, according to Reuters.
"We are still
seeing indications, and for obvious reasons, I will not go into details about
the possibility of launching an Iranian offensive," Under Secretary of
Defense for Policy John Rood told reporters on Wednesday.
concerns were based.
"We have sent very
clear and frank signals to the Iranian government about the repercussions of
the possible aggression," he added.
There are also American
indicators confirmed by press reports about the presence of an Iranian missile
arsenal in Iraq. The New York Times reported that its military and intelligence
sources said that while Iraq was living in a widespread state of massive
protests, Iran built a hidden "arsenal" of short-range ballistic
missiles there, which threatens US allies and partners in the region.
Intelligence officials
told the New York Times that the Iranian arsenal poses grave danger to the
United States and its allies in the region, noting that the missile arsenal is
outside the borders of Iran and therefore Iran controls the arsenal remotely,
meaning that in the event of confrontation with the United States, the second
party will be Iran-affiliated Iraqi militias.
The US administration
announced its desire to form a naval alliance to accompany ships in the region,
along with Washington's efforts to send some military forces to the region to
secure international trade and navigation routes from any potential threat, as
it sent thousands of troops, an aircraft carrier, B-52 bombers with nuclear
capability, and advanced fighter jets to the Middle East. This sparked
controversy over the potential escalation of the conflict between Tehran and
international powers after repeated attacks on oil tankers near the Strait of
Hormuz, as well as attacks by Iranian-backed rebels in Yemen on Saudi Arabia
and the downing of a US military drone.
In November, Bahrain,
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and Kuwait announced joining the international
coalition led by Washington.
Last October, a US plan
to strike Iran was leaked if the military option was resorted to as a final
solution, US President Donald Trump announced.
Leaked documents
published by the British newspaper Express revealed that the plan, called the
“Iran Theater in the Short-Term”, aims to crush Tehran’s power centers within
24 hours by destroying its weapons of mass destruction, nuclear power
installations, armed forces, state agencies, and economic infrastructure with
sudden attacks against 10,000 targets in a single day, while avoiding ground
invasion and nuclear weapons.
The Washington Post also
mentioned the temporary transfer of the US Air Force Middle East Command Center
from Qatar to South Carolina on September 28 for a period of only 24 hours, in
a development that had not occurred 13 years ago.
For his part, Iranian
affairs expert Dr. Muhammad Bannaya said that all scenarios are expected in the
Iranian crisis and Trump's confrontation of Iranian influence.
Bannaya told the
Reference that there are multiple scenarios to reach a new nuclear agreement
with Tehran after Iranian President Hassan Rouhani announced his country's
readiness to negotiate with the US administration. This position comes after
the Revolutionary Guards and security services repressed the gasoline
revolution in Iran, as well as the catastrophic situation afflicting the
Iranian economy.
He added that the second
scenario is the gradual suffocation. The Iranian regime is losing its arms in
the region, with the loss of the Khamenei regime’s influence and ability
abroad. This scenario is now being implemented through the imposition of
sanctions, military buildup, and supporting the demonstrations internally.
The third scenario, from
Bannaya’s viewpoint, is directing a limited military strike against the Iranian
regime, especially military bases and nuclear installations, and the process of
ending the regime's military capabilities internally, which would encourage the
Iranian people to revolt and topple the regime.