The possible scenarios in Iran... Internal differences and clear confusion
A report issued by Arab European Office For Research
and Political Consulting stated that there is an acute dispute between the
Iranian army and the Revolutionary Guards after the killing of the Quds Force
commander Qassem Soleimani, and the outbreak of demonstrations in Iran.
The Arab-European Office mentioned in the report
that, “The killing of Soleimani resulted a great shock that the Iranian regime
and its arms could not pass, Soleimani, the man of difficult missions, the icon
of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, the commander of the Quds Force and the
Persian national hero, killed, after an American decision declared by the
president Trump.
The Office added in a report that the
"reference" obtained a copy of it, that since Soleimani's
assassination on January 3, Tehran is waving revenge and responding to what it
considered a crime against its most prominent leaders, while Soleimni is the
most prominent name required in the list of terrorism.
About the reasons for his assassination the
Americans talk about information confirming his attempt to carry out terrorist
acts targeting American embassies, which led them to liquidate him.
How Khamenei invested in the
killing of Qassem Soleimani
In light of the popular discontent in Iran over the
deterioration of the standard of living as a result of economic sanctions, this
system did not have solutions, it has been declared bankruptcy and its great
inability to meet the demands of the street, which went out in mass
demonstrations since November to demand the acceleration of reforms.
The killing of Soleimani was the only outlet that
the Iranian regime used to turn cards in his favor and get out of the internal
crisis by exploiting the assassination, to start, as usual, with the gathering
operations and directing the compass to the Americans to sympathize the street
and absorb its anger, so the director envisions his crisis, at least in this
stage of reverse that is contrary to the opposite.
Downing of the Ukrainian plane
in Iran
The report continued that in light of Iran's search
for how to respond to the killing of Soleimani, Iran is trying to shed light on
its reactions and distracting the Iranian street.
Iraq was the starting point, through a soft reaction
that never fell short of escalating official speeches. Iran's missiles on two
air bases in which American forces in Iraq existed were cold and peaceful, and
were more like tinkering, until they provoked a great controversy in the Shiite
community and pain Line insisted Iran, targeting little damage did not succeed
as President Trump said in a tweet to him, everything is fine.
The report added that Iran after boisterous days
boasting about Soleimani's accomplishments and exaggerating his appreciation to
the point of sanctification, is making a grave mistake turning the table on its
head, which it believed was holding the reins, changed everything after the
Revolutionary Guards committed the crime of shooting down a Ukrainian civilian
plane with a missile, which prompted the Iranians To pour into the street in
great anger over this crime, they tore apart Soleimani's photos to announce his
actions that ruined and ruined their country.
He explained that the Iranian street has completely
lost its confidence in this system that has been lying, and it became clear
from the crime of shooting down the Ukrainian plane, which he tried to hide his
fingerprints from, wrapped in his tricks and lies that he was reeling, but the
Revolutionary Guards recognition after three days of the incident, caused a
great wave of discontent with the Iranians who This news appalled them and
descended on them as a thunderbolt, because of lying and the lack of
transparency with it, and why lies mainly, so the street wonders.
Street protests
The report considered that the exit of the Iranian
street with widespread demonstrations raising the slogan “Khamenei's
resignation” as a decision by the Iranian people, who had an absolute
conviction that any change can only be made by bringing down the clique of the
current regime at the head of Khamenei, pointing fingers at him to block
reforms and improve living standard.
The report pointed out that there are many scenarios
awaiting the Supreme Leader's regime in Iran, after the downing of the
Ukrainian plane, it is possible that the Iranian scene will witness important
developments in the coming weeks, but it is too early to talk about the fall of
this system without military and armed strength that surpasses it.