The necessity of revenge versus the upholding of interests: Which will Iran choose in the predicament of its revenge for Soleimani?
Opponent Mariam Rajavi said that the Iranian
regime is in deep trouble over how to respond to Soleimani's killing.
"Now is the time to strike hard the
mullahs' regime and its puppet arms in the region," she added. The death
of Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, the commander of the unpopular
crowd in Iraq, is an irreplaceable blow to the regime of the mullahs as
described.
The predicament of revenge
According to the statements of the Iranian
opponent, Rajavi, the regime of the Wilayat al-Faqih from the first day had a
terrorist strategy that was relied upon until the January 2018 uprising.
This strategy is based on terrorism,
hostage-taking, creating crises and igniting wars to create an alleged hegemony
and special situations so that no one or any force dares to approach them, show
hollow power to subdue rivals and force them to blackmail.
Looking at the relations of the mullahs’
regime with European countries, some of whose citizens were always detained in
order to compel them to offer political or economic privileges or at least
compel them to gain their freedom in exchange for extraditing the criminals and
spies of the mullahs regime imprisoned in European countries.
Terrorism and hostage-taking has been
developed as a theory since Khomeini's era as another type of force. This is
why Khamenei said on Wednesday, January 1, 2020: "We will surprise
everyone who threatens the interests of the regime, and we will make it a
struggle."
The reaction, the crisis and the consequences
Rajavi added that after the death of Qassem
Soleimani, the mullahs' regime is suffering from a growing crisis over whether
or not to respond to this strategic strike.
There is an illusion of conflict within the
fascist regime on this issue, as some of Khamenei's clique say: "All
preparations and grounds for intense revenge against terrorist America are
ready, and that delay in revenge would harm what the people expect.
On the other side of the illusion, there is a
larger group, as Jawad Zarif, the Minister of Foreign Affairs, says: "We
will not be preoccupied with the fabricated atmosphere and the Americans will
not blackmail us."
“This means that we will not give up. They
call for calm as a matter of restraint, and they plead with the international
bodies and call upon them to say: Taking immediate countermeasures would
necessarily lead to the outbreak of war.”
However, the restraint and global exploitation
of the American terrorist act, its condemnation and its lifting in the
international bodies, and responding at the same time will be the most ideal
solution.
In this context, Iranian researcher Mehdi
Khalaji said that, despite Iran's great speech to lament Soleimani and despite
Soleimani’s unique role in implementing Iran's regional policy characterized by
adventure and asymmetric warfare, the regime may avoid large and immediate
revenge if he sees this step as too costly.
"Whatever the regime's goals, the
mourning for Soleimani's death will not be the reaction of all Iranians to his
death," Khalaji added. Indeed, some citizens have already celebrated his
death on social media.
American researcher Matthew Levitt says that
the assessment of the unique intelligence that killed the Iranian Prince of
Terrorism believes that Iran and its proxies will not carry out attacks inside
the United States unless the latter directly targets Iran. The assassination of
Soleimani would definitely fall into this category.
One case in New York City highlights the
possibility that Iranian agents may carry out a terrorist retaliatory attack.
In this context, Ali Kurani, a Lebanese immigrant to the United States, was
convicted of leading a secret cell of the Islamic Jihad Movement, the Hezbollah
wing responsible for offensive operations outside Lebanon.
