Pakistan calls for engagement with Taliban as West highlights concerns of abuse
For years, Pakistan has been accused of
secretly backing Taliban insurgents in next-door Afghanistan. Now leaders here,
reluctant to criticize the new Afghan rulers, find themselves facing pressure
from the West to help keep their neighbors in line.
The question of how much influence the
Pakistani government retains over a group that once depended heavily on its
support has become especially relevant since the Taliban announced an interim
cabinet Sept. 7.
To the dismay of many Afghans and foreign
governments, the cabinet includes leaders of the Haqqani network, a militant
group that American and former Afghan officials have charged was covertly
sponsored by Pakistan’s military-led intelligence agency. The Pakistani
government denies those charges.
The prominence of the Haqqanis, a group
blamed for deadly terrorist attacks as well as scenes of Taliban fighters
repressing protesters and journalists, has undermined the new Afghan
government’s attempts to put a benign face on its intentions and has prompted
Washington and other Western governments to press Pakistan to take a strong
stance.
But Pakistani leaders insist that the world
needs to be realistic and engage with the new rulers. Otherwise, they say,
Afghanistan could face a humanitarian crisis and economic collapse that would
directly spill across the border into Pakistan. They have said almost nothing
about reported abuses, instead asking for patience as the Taliban adjusts from
an armed insurgency to a government.
During an international donor conference
Tuesday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken urged Pakistan to “get in line” with
the rest of the world and hold the Taliban regime to its promises. But Pakistani
Prime Minister Imran Khan, in an interview Wednesday, said the world should
“incentivize” rather than pressure Taliban leaders, and that rights for Afghan
women, which were severely restricted during Taliban rule in the late 1990s,
cannot be “imposed from abroad.”
Khan repeated his appeal Thursday at a
meeting in Tajikistan with regional leaders, saying “Afghans should not be left
alone” as their new government struggles to organize and tackle widespread
social ills after years of war, Information Minister Fawad Chaudhry said in a
video statement, quoting the prime minister.
The critical issue is ensuring that an
immediate crisis does not occur,” Moeed Yusuf, Khan’s national security
adviser, told foreign journalists Wednesday.” To withhold aid while testing the
regime’s behavior could lead to economic collapse and a dangerous security
vacuum, he said. “We must deal with the government that is there.”
Chaudhry, in a brief interview, put
Pakistan’s dilemma more bluntly. “It’s like we’re damned if we do and damned if
we don’t,” he said.
Pakistan’s efforts to gloss over Taliban
abuses and play down its influence on the group reflect its long-standing fears
of being vulnerable to cross-border aggression from Afghan soil. One concern is
connected to its rivalry with next-door India. At the news conference, Yusuf
claimed India was repressing Muslims in the contested border region of Kashmir
and using Afghan territory to potentially infiltrate Pakistan.
Another worry is that homegrown Islamist
rebels, who were driven into Afghanistan after waging a terror campaign against
the state, could now return to launch new attacks. Taliban officials have
promised to thwart such attempts but may not be able to deliver. A suicide
bombing in Pakistan’s Baluchistan province on Sept. 5 was claimed by the rebel
group.
We don’t know whether the Taliban have the
capacity to take control over terrorist forces inside Afghanistan,” said Rifaat
Hussain, a security expert at the National University of Science and Technology
here. “Pakistan would be ill-advised to stick its neck out for the Taliban. We
need a coherent strategy for dealing with terrorism on both sides of the border.”
There are also domestic constraints on
Pakistan's ability to pressure Kabul's leaders. Islamist ideology and religious
fervor have been spreading steadily here, and many Pakistanis cheered the
Taliban takeover. One was Khan, a British-educated former cricket star who won
power in 2019 as head of a secular party. When Taliban forces entered Kabul, he
exulted that Afghans had broken the "shackles of slavery" to Western
culture.
In an equally extraordinary gesture, Lt.
Gen. Faiz Hameed, the army official who heads Pakistan’s secretive
Inter-Services Intelligence agency, made a high-profile visit to Kabul on Sept.
4 to call on its new leaders. No details of the meeting were made public, but
in photos that appeared in the Pakistani press, Hameed wore a sport coat,
smiled warmly and held out his hand to someone.
In some ways, this welcome reflects a
historic affinity. Pakistan was one of only three countries to recognize the
Taliban regime that ruled Kabul from 1996 to 2001, and for years afterward it
was reported to shelter a group of senior Taliban leaders, although both
parties denied it. But today, signs of an internal struggle between Taliban
factions in Kabul are complicating Pakistan’s relationship with the new rulers.
Last week, reports emerged about a dispute
between leaders of the Haqqani group and Abdul Ghani Baradar, the acting deputy
prime minister who headed Taliban peace talks with U.S. officials. Baradar was
not seen in public for several days afterward. Finally, on Wednesday, he
appeared on national TV, telling viewers he was “fine” and that Taliban
officials are “closer than a family.”
Baradar, a pragmatist, is viewed as a
moderate influence in the emerging government, but Pakistan once kept him in
prison for eight years. In contrast, Pakistan’s intelligence agency was widely
seen as close to the Haqqani faction. In 2011, Adm. Mike Mullen, then head of
the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told a congressional hearing that the Haqqani
network was “a veritable extension” of the ISI
Today, the network’s senior leader,
Sirajuddin Haqqani, is Afghanistan’s acting interior minister, and several
other members hold powerful posts. But most are under United Nations
anti-terror sanctions, and Haqqani has a $10 million U.S. bounty on his head.
This is a tricky situation for Pakistan,”
said Muhammad Amir Rana, a security analyst in Islamabad, noting that the new
Afghan government contains “both pro-Pakistan and anti-Pakistan elements.” The
relationship may endure, he said, “but this time the Taliban may be the ones
holding the strings.”
William Milam, a former U.S. ambassador to
Pakistan, wrote in an online column this week that by placing the Haqqanis in
key positions, the Taliban “appears to be signaling that it will follow the path
of isolation” instead of integrating into the modern international system, even
if it means forgoing foreign aid. This choice, he predicted, may lead to
violent instability at a terrible “human cost.”
But in the northwest border region of
Pakistan, where the Taliban movement was born, its admirers seemed especially
energized by the Taliban’s success. A seminary teacher named Maulana Haris
called it “a moral victory for all religious people” who have longed to see a
“true Islamic system” come to Pakistan.
At a university in Mardan city, where a
liberal student named Mashal Khan was brutally killed by conservative religious
classmates in 2017, Shakoor Khan, a professor, said the Taliban’s return to
power next door was already having a deep impact.
“Our clerics and students are behaving as if
they won a battle against mighty powers,” he said. “Friday sermons are all
about Taliban success stories. This can change people’s minds, especially the
youth.”
Asif, a student who spoke on the condition
that only his first name be used out of fear of retribution, said he was
worried that the Taliban’s example would further radicalize religious students.
There are already such pro-Taliban feelings
in our society, and now they will rule a country next to us,” he said. “We are
afraid the hard-liners will only become stronger now.”