Iran nuclear talks on hold over Russian Demands to Ease Sanctions
Russian demands that a revised nuclear agreement with
Iran shield it from sanctions halted efforts to revive the deal on Friday, just
as negotiators said they had all but finalized it.
Russia, facing a barrage of economic sanctions in
response to its invasion of Ukraine, has taken its fight against those
sanctions into the nuclear talks with Iran, effectively holding up the nuclear
agreement as leverage.
The Russian demands have now severely complicated efforts
to revive the nuclear deal, which places limits on Iran’s nuclear program in
exchange for lifting sanctions against Iran.
At the least, the breakdown in talks on Friday delays any
prospect of a deal, as well as the possible resumption of Iran’s ability sell
oil on the world market.
The current American sanctions against Iran strictly
limit its ability to sell oil, and Western countries had hoped that an
agreement to lift those sanctions would ease the pressure on soaring energy prices
as many countries have cut off imports of Russian energy.
European officials also worried that the Russian move
would scuttle prospects for the deal entirely, allowing Iran to continue to
enrich uranium and move closer to the ability to build a nuclear bomb.
Josep Borrell Fontelles, the foreign policy chief of the
European Union, which chairs the talks in Vienna, confirmed what he described
as a “pause” in the talks “due to external factors.”
A final text is essentially ready and on the table,” he
said in a Twitter message, adding that he would continue to work with
negotiators to “overcome the current situation and to close the agreement.”
But Russia, as a signatory to the 2015 nuclear agreement,
has tried to use its final approval of the revived Iran deal to open a loophole
in the sanctions levied against it since it invaded Ukraine last month.
Russia’s foreign minister, Sergey V. Lavrov, said on
Saturday that he wanted a written guarantee that sanctions ‘‘launched by the
U.S. will not in any way harm our right to free, fully fledged trade and
economic and investment cooperation and military-technical cooperation with
Iran.”
Following a call between Mr. Lavrov and his Iranian
counterpart, Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, Russia said a restored nuclear deal must
“ensure that all its participants have equal rights” to develop “cooperation in
all areas” with Iran.
The demand has tangled the Ukraine war with the Iran
nuclear talks, two pressing issues that American officials insist are separate.
The sanctions imposed on Russia after the invasion, said
Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken, “have nothing to do with the Iran nuclear
deal.” He said they “just are not in any way linked together, so I think that’s
irrelevant.”
American and Iranian officials are both eager to renew
the deal: Iran desperately needs the lifting of sanctions that have crippled
its economy, while the United States wants to restore the original deal’s
limits on Iran’s ability to enrich uranium.
The parties have been negotiating for 11 months to try to
restore the deal, which broke down when the Trump administration withdrew from
the agreement in 2018. The Trump administration then applied a raft of new
sanctions against Iran, and Iran began increasing its enrichment of uranium.
Iran has criticized the new Russian demands. Mr.
Amir-Abdollahian told Iranian media on Monday that Iran “will not allow any
external factor to impact the national interests for removal of the sanctions.”
The spokesman for Iran’s Foreign Ministry, Saeed
Khatibzadeh, insisted on Friday that “no external factor will affect our joint
will to go forward for a collective agreement.” He expressed the hope that the
pause could provide “momentum for resolving any remaining issues and a final
return” to the deal.
On Tuesday, Britain, France and Germany urged the
completion of the deal. “The window of opportunity is closing,” they said in a
statement. “We call on all sides to make the decisions necessary to close this
deal now, and on Russia not to add extraneous conditions to its conclusion.’’
But Russia’s intentions are not yet entirely clear.
If Moscow wants guarantees limited to its obligations
under the nuclear deal, that can be managed, officials say. If the Russian
demand is broader, and includes exemptions from Western financial and trade
sanctions, the deal could die.
While Russia is a member of the pact, its approval of a
restored deal may not be legally necessary. But China and Iran may not want to
proceed without it, and Russia remains a member of the commission that oversees
compliance.
Though the deal is not dead yet, the Iran analyst Trita
Parsi wrote in the journal Responsible Statecraft, “Moscow does have the
ability to harm the United States by delaying the agreement at a crucial point
of Washington’s vulnerability to high oil prices. It may also have the ability
to pull the plug on the agreement.”
“It remains unclear, however,” he added, “if the Russian
objective is to delay the deal to undermine the West’s efforts to pressure
Russia over Ukraine or to completely scuttle the deal.”