General Armageddon: strikes bear hallmarks of Russia’s new commander
Russia’s biggest missile attack on Ukraine came less than 48
hours after President Putin appointed a notoriously brutal military commander
known as General Armageddon to revive the Kremlin’s faltering offensive.
General Sergei Surovikin was named on Saturday as Russia’s
first overall commander for the war, giving him total control over Putin’s
forces in Ukraine. His appointment came hours after a huge explosion partially
destroyed a vital 12-mile bridge linking Russia to the annexed Crimean
peninsula. Putin described the blast as an act of terrorism carried out by Ukrainian
special forces.
Surovikin, 55, oversaw the destruction of Aleppo in 2016,
when Syrian government forces retook the city with the support of Russian
airstrikes. Human rights groups accused him of using banned cluster munitions
and incendiary weapons. The bombardment of Aleppo became known as one of the
most brutal in the war with more than 600 civilians killed, including dozens of
children.
“Surovikin knows how
to fight with bombers and missiles — that’s what he does,” Major General Kyrylo
Budanov, the head of Ukraine’s military intelligence service, said in June,
when Surovikin was in charge of Russian forces in northern Ukraine.
His appointment has delighted hardliners in Russia, many of
whom had been openly scathing of Putin’s handling of the war. “Surovikin is the
most competent commander in the Russian army,” said Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head
of the Wagner Group of pro-Kremlin mercenaries.
Ramzan Kadyrov, the pro-Putin leader of Chechnya, said that
the appointment of Surovikin meant that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was now in
“reliable hands.”
Surovikin, who has also taken part in Russia’s brutal war in
Chechnya, was dubbed General Armageddon by army officials for “his ability to
act unconventionally and cruelly,” according to pro-Kremlin media. Unconfirmed
reports from Moscow said that Putin has given him carte blanche to act as he
sees fit in Ukraine.
He gained infamy in 1991 when a tank division under his
command tried to break through a line of people in central Moscow who were
protesting against an ultimately unsuccessful KGB coup. Three people were crushed
to deaths by his tanks.
Surovikin spent several months in prison before charges were
dropped when officials ruled that he had been following orders. “He is the same
officer who without hesitation, having received an order, got into a tank and
rushed to save his country,” Prigozhin said.
Russia’s salvo of missiles at cities across Ukraine today
demonstrated the same ruthlessness that Surovikin displayed in Syria, said
General Sir Richard Barrons, former head of the UK forces command.
For Putin, today’s attacks are a bid to break the will of the
Ukraine population, he said. “The way we saw Aleppo levelled ... we are getting
that in Ukraine”, he said. “[This is the] same brutal, feral quality you saw in
Syria.”
One of the key differences, however, is that more than half
of the missile launched by Russia today were shot down by Ukraine’s missile
defence systems. Of the 75 missiles launched, 41 of them were destroyed by
Ukraine’s air defence, its military said. The civilians in Aleppo did not have
that protection.
Although it is unclear where the system is deployed, the
Ukrainians are using the same system that protects the White House and the
Pentagon. With a range of up to 31 miles, the National Advanced Surface-to-Air
Missile System, NA SAMS, has the ability to counter a range of targets,
including cruise missiles.
Russia today used Kh-101 and Kh-555 cruise missiles launched
from strategic bombers from the Caspian region, Iskander missiles and Kalibr
cruise missiles from the Black Sea, according to Ukraine Air Force Command.
Kalibr cruise missiles are sophisticated weapons that are
reliant on western technology. Although they have been used before in attacks
on Ukraine, military experts believe the Russians are running out of them and
once they do, they will not be able to procure anymore.
In theory cruise missiles should be accurate to 2-5 metres,
according to experts. Barrons said that in the case of today’s attacks, either
Putin was deliberately targeting sites such as a children’s playground in the
capital Kyiv or they had been directed to the wrong place.
Justin Crump, an analyst at the risk consultancy Sibylline,
said Russia had been using bombers throughout the conflict, especially early
on, but now they were increasing the breadth and depth of their targets.
President Zelensky said that Russia used Iranian drones in
today’s attack, demonstrating the evolution of technology since the
carpet-bombing of densely populated civilian areas using indiscriminate weapons
such as barrel bombs in Syria. Crump suggested that as Russia runs out of its
sophisticated weaponry, it could resort to similar tactics.
He said: “Russia, after a long period of comparatively little
focus on cities away from the front lines, has launched today’s strikes using a
higher degree of precision weaponry aided by the recent influx of comparatively
cheap Iranian kamikaze drones. It is assessed that they have been husbanding
these given the need to have stockpiles in the event of a wider conflict, and
so it is unclear how long this tempo can be maintained for.”
He warned that “increasing use may be made of older, less
accurate weapon stocks as Russia seeks to maintain pressure — especially on the
cities nearer the front line, such as Zaporizhzhya, Mikolaiv, Odesa and
Kharkiv”.