How Western Goods Reach Russia: A Long Line of Trucks Through Georgia
Each day, a caravan of trucks stretches for miles along a
mountain highway in Georgia, near the border with Russia. Each day, the line
seems to get longer.
The trucks wait for days with their cargo — car parts,
industrial materials, chemicals, even the paper for tea bags — to cross the
frontier on a journey that usually starts in Turkey and ends in Russian towns
and cities where Western goods are in high demand.
The war in Ukraine abruptly cut many of Russia’s trade links
to Europe, but the country’s economy quickly made adjustments, finding
alternative routes for imports. Over the past 10 months, Georgia — a former
Soviet republic of 3.6 million that fought its own painful war with Moscow in
2008 — has emerged as a convenient logistics conduit between Russia and the
outside world.
The surge in commerce has meant an unexpected boon for truck
drivers like Murman Nakashidze, a 48-year-old Georgian who owns a small transportation
company of four trucks carrying cargo from Turkey to Russia — everything from
electronics to construction materials. After many European companies shut down
trade with Moscow, in protest of the war or in adherence to Western sanctions,
his business flourished.
His cellphone now beeps relentlessly with requests for him
to ferry goods to Russia, for fees that just keep getting higher. “It’s been a
war for many, but others are receiving profit,” said Mr. Nakashidze. “It is
good for us, for the economy, but it is bad for others.”
Acquiring goods through Georgia and neighboring countries
like Armenia and Azerbaijan has helped Russia weather the economic storm caused
by its invasion of Ukraine. Though some goods are scarce and many Western
companies have shuttered their operations, the government says the Russian
economy contracted by only around 3 percent last year.
While growth prospects remain dim, the outright collapse
that some economists had predicted in the face of Western sanctions did not
come about.
Situated in the Caucasus at the southeastern extreme of
Europe, Georgia offers the quickest overland route to Turkey, which has become
one of Russia’s main trade links to the West. Over the first six months of
2022, cargo transit between Turkey and Russia tripled in volume and much of it
traveled on Georgian roads, according to research conducted by TBC Capital,
Georgia’s leading investment bank.
On average, the line of trucks backed up to cross the
frontier, snaking through the picturesque slopes in northern Georgia, was more
than twice as long in December as it was a year earlier, according to the
Russian Federal Customs Service. The traffic is far more than the border
checkpoint can handle.
“Everyone is here
now, Belarusians, Kazakhs, Uzbeks, they were never here before,” said Alik
Oganesyan, 60, repairing his truck as he waited in line. Sometimes drivers have
to wait so long that perishable cargo spoils, he said.
The Russian customs service is working at expanding the
number of processing lanes, while Georgia is building a 5.5-mile tunnel through
the most problematic part of the highway that occasionally gets blocked by
avalanches.
The lines sometimes stretch all the way to Georgia’s
capital, Tbilisi, about 100 miles from the border, with special parking lots
along its bypass road where truckers can rest, and sleep, while they wait. (The
line is not continuous. Police patrols regulate the traffic, and because of the
mountainous terrain, there are stretches where trucks are prohibited from
idling. Once truckers approach the border, they get a ticket with a number that
secures their spot.)
The long wait prompts many drivers to take a detour and enter
Russia through neighboring Azerbaijan, adding several days to the journey.
It’s impossible to tell how much of the European cargo
crossing Georgia is subject to European Union sanctions. But the country’s
emergence as a key link in commerce to Russia highlights a potential loophole
in E.U. sanctions policy.
The Georgian government has insisted that it strictly
enforces Western sanctions, and that many shipments have been denied. But
opponents of the ruling party in Parliament say that goods and money are
flowing through largely unhindered.
Georgia’s case highlights how third countries have enabled
sanctioned states to circumvent trade restrictions, said Maria Shagina, a
senior researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
“Georgia is performing a balancing act between its official
pro-Western orientation and its economic dependence on Russia,” Ms. Shagina
said in a telephone interview, adding that the fast-growing volume of trade
might overwhelm Georgia’s ability to enforce sanctions. “It is a very narrow
space that Georgia finds itself in.”
While Russia produces most of its own food and receives
consumer goods from Asia, the Georgian route has helped Russia solve a
troublesome shortfall in European parts and raw materials for factories, said
Ivan Fedyakov, who runs InfoLine, a Russian market consultancy that advises
companies on how to survive under the current restrictions.
“The main problem was
with the industrial cargo,” he said.
For instance, Russia produces a lot of tea, Mr. Fedyakov
said, but it imports the filter paper used in tea bags. In April, the European
Union barred exports of that paper to Russia, forcing Russian factories to look
for alternatives from China and Turkey. The route via Georgia helped deliver
the product to Russia, said Mr. Fedyakov, helping factories stay afloat and
preserving workers’ jobs.
Since May, Russia has received more than $20 billion worth
of goods, through the so-called parallel imports process — when something is
brought to a country without the consent of the company that owns the trademark
— the head of Russian customs said in an interview with state television. Much
of the cargo consists of cars and equipment for factories.
Overall, by the end of 2022, Russia had almost restored its
prewar level of imports, according to the country’s Central Bank — while also
adding to a major source of income: the customs duties it collects on goods
entering the country.
Aleksandre Davitidze, the head of the Association of Freight
Forwarders of Georgia, said that members of his group would not handle any
embargoed cargo for Russia, but that smaller companies might be willing to do
that.
Shortly after the invasion, Mr. Davitidze said, he started
receiving email requests from Russian companies and individuals seeking help in
delivering various goods to Russia.
“Now I barely get them,” he said in an interview. “That
means that they have either found companies, or founded their own.”
The economic cooperation with Russia, which gained control
of one-fifth of Georgia’s territory after the 2008 war, has infuriated many
Georgians.
“Our government chose to be in between,” said Giorgi Oniani,
deputy executive director of the Tbilisi chapter of Transparency International,
the global anti-corruption group. “But at least personally some of them feel
closer to Russia and the Kremlin.”
Economists said the boost to Georgia’s economy could just be
too much for businesses and the government to resist.
“When you don’t have a strong political stance, in most
cases business always looks for the profits,” said Giorgi Mzhavanadze, senior
associate at TBC Capital, the investment-banking arm of Georgia’s biggest bank.
Turkish and Russian businesses “use Georgia as a transit country and we don’t
punish it.”
Georgia’s largest seaport, Poti on the Black Sea, is working
on an ambitious expansion that would double its capacity and allow for bigger
ships. The project, begun before the war, now “feels even the more right
decision than before,” said Iain Rawlinson, Chief Commercial Officer of APM
Terminals, the Netherlands-based operator of the Poti port. “Volumes through
Georgia have grown dramatically.”
Following the Ukraine invasion, APM Terminals cut business
ties to Russia, but once cargo is offloaded in Georgia, the company does not
know or control where it goes, Mr. Rawlinson said.
“What happens with cargo after it has left us — we have no
visibility on that,” he said. He said that the vast majority of trade his port
is processing is destined for Central Asia, not Russia.
As for Mr. Nakashidze, the Georgian truck owner, he said he
would like to expand his company, but he cannot afford more drivers, who are in
high demand.
“They just want more money,” he said.