Khamenei Wants to Put Iran’s Stamp on Reprisal for U.S. Killing of Top General
In the tense hours following the American killing of
a top Iranian military commander, the country’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, made a rare appearance at a meeting of the government’s National
Security Council to lay down the parameters for any retaliation. It must be a
direct and proportional attack on American interests, he said, openly carried
out by Iranian forces themselves, three Iranians familiar with the meeting said
Monday.
It was a startling departure for the Iranian
leadership. Since the establishment of the Islamic Republic in 1979, Tehran had
almost always cloaked its attacks behind the actions of proxies it had
cultivated around the region. But in the fury generated by the killing of the
military commander, Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani, a close ally and personal
friend of the supreme leader, the ayatollah was willing to cast aside those
traditional cautions.
The nation’s anger over the commander’s death was on
vivid display Monday, as millions of Iranians poured into the streets of Tehran
for a funeral procession and Mr. Khamenei wept openly over the coffin.
After weeks of furious protests across the country
against corruption and misrule, both those who had criticized and those who had
supported the government marched together, united in outrage. Subway trains and
stations were packed with mourners hours before dawn, and families brought
children carrying photographs of General Suleimani.
Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei,
center, and President Hassan Rouhani, to his right, prayed over the coffin of
General Suleimani in Tehran on Monday.Credit...Office of Iran’s Supreme Leader
A reformist politician, Sadegh Kharazi, said he had
not seen crowds this size since the 1989 funeral of the Islamic Republic’s
founder, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.
“We are ready
to take a fierce revenge against America,” Gen. Hamid Sarkheili of the Revolutionary
Guard declared to the throng. “American troops in the Persian Gulf and in Iraq
and Syria are within our reach.”
“No negotiations or deal, only war with America,”
funeral attendees chanted in a video shared with The New York Times.
A renowned eulogist and member of the Revolutionary
Guard, Sadegh Ahangaran, exhorted the funeral crowds to raise their voices so
“damned America can hear you” and to “wave the flags in preparation for war.”
The increasingly public vows of direct action on
Monday constituted Iran’s latest act of defiance to President Trump. Over the
weekend the president had repeatedly threatened to retaliate for any attacks
against American interests by ordering airstrikes against as many as 52
potential targets, one for each American hostage held after the seizure of the
United States embassy in Tehran in 1979.
In response, Iran’s moderate president, Hassan
Rouhani, on Monday responded with his own numerology. “Those who refer to the
number 52 should also remember the number 290,” he said on Twitter, a reference
to the 290 people killed in 1988 in the accidental downing of an Iranian
airliner by an American warship. “Never threaten the Iranian nation,” Mr.
Rouhani added.
Where, when and even if Iran may choose to retaliate
remains a matter of speculation. As Iranian leaders weighed just what form it
might take, analysts said the targets included American troops in neighboring
Syria and Iraq, American bases in the Persian Gulf or American embassies or
diplomats almost anywhere.
When previous attempts at direct strikes or assassinations
have proved unsuccessful, some noted, Iranian-backed militants have turned to
the simpler tactic of killing civilians with terrorist bombs.
This was the sequence in 2012 with the
Iranian-backed Lebanese group Hezbollah. After failing in attempts to attack
Israeli targets or kill Israeli officials in revenge for the killing of one of
the group’s leaders, the militants eventually settled on the easier job of
bombing a busload of Israeli tourists in Bulgaria, said Afshon Ostovar, a
scholar of Iran at the Naval Postgraduate School.
“We are in uncharted territory, and the truth of the
matter is nobody knows how Iran is going to respond. I don’t think even Iran
knows,” Mr. Ostovar said. “But I think there is a blood lust right now in the
Revolutionary Guards.”
In Iraq, where the Parliament had earlier called for
the immediate expulsion of the 5,000 American troops stationed there, Prime
Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi on Monday listed steps to curtail the troops’
movements.
While plans were being made for departure of the
Americans, he said, they would now be limited to “training and advising” Iraqi
forces, required to remain within the bases and barred from Iraqi air space.
Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, center right, met
with Matthew Tueller, the United States’ ambassador to Iraq, on Monday.
Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, center right, met
with Matthew Tueller, the United States’ ambassador to Iraq, on
Monday.Credit...Iraqi Prime Minister's Media Office, via Associated Press
Mr. Abdul Mahdi met with Matthew Tueller, the
American ambassador to Iraq, on Monday, and “stressed the need for joint action
to implement the withdrawal,” according to a statement and photo released by
Mr. Abdul Mahdi’s office. He also emphasized Iraq’s efforts to prevent the
current tensions between Iran and the United States from sliding into “open
war.”
The United States military stirred a media flurry by
accidentally releasing a draft letter that seemed to describe imminent plans to
withdraw from Iraq. Marine Corps Brig. Gen. William H. Seely III, the commander
of the United States forces in Iraq, wrote to the Iraqi government that the
American troops would be relocated “to prepare for onward movement.”
“We respect your sovereign decision to order our
departure,” he wrote.
But Defense Department officials played down the
significance of the letter. “Here’s the bottom line, this was a mistake,” Gen.
Mark A. Milley, President Trump’s top military commander, told reporters at the
Pentagon during a hastily called press briefing. “It’s a draft unsigned letter
because we are moving forces around.”
“There’s been no decision whatsoever to leave Iraq,”
Mark T. Esper, the defense secretary, told reporters. “There’s been no decision
made to leave Iraq. Period.”
Although the Trump administration has said that the
United States killed General Suleimani because he was planning imminent attacks
against American interests, there were indications Monday that he may have been
leading an effort to calm tensions with Saudi Arabia.
Prime Minister Abdul Mahdi of Iraq said that he was
supposed to meet with General Suleimani on the morning he was killed, and that
he expected him to bring messages from the Iranians that might help to “reach
agreements and breakthroughs important for the situation in Iraq and the
region.”
In Washington, two top Senate Democrats urged
President Trump early Monday to declassify the administration’s formal
notification to Congress giving notice of the airstrike that killed General
Suleimani.
Such notification of Congress is required by law,
and to classify the entirety of such a notification is highly unusual.
Senator Chuck Schumer of New York, the Democratic
leader, and Senator Robert Menendez of New Jersey, the top Democrat on the
Foreign Relations Committee, said in a joint statement that it was “critical
that national security matters of such import be shared with the American
people in a timely manner.”
And Senator Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader,
urged Mr. Trump’s critics not to jump to conclusions. “Unfortunately, in this
toxic political environment, some of our colleagues rushed to blame our own government
before even knowing the facts,” he said.
For its part, Iran simultaneously continued a
monthslong push against the Trump administration over its demands that Tehran
submit to a more restrictive renegotiation of a 2015 accord with the Western
powers over its nuclear research. The Trump administration has sought to
pressure Iran by devastating its economy with sweeping economic sanctions,
which Iranian officials have denounced as economic warfare.
The sanctions set off the cycle of attacks and
counterattacks that culminated last week in the killing of General Suleimani.
Iran has also responded with carefully calibrated steps away from the deal’s
limits on its nuclear program. On Sunday, Iranian officials said that they had
now abandoned all restrictions on the enrichment of uranium, though they said
they would continue to admit inspectors from the International Atomic Energy
Agency.
Amid the emotion of the funeral, some called for
vengeance that would remake the region. “Even if we attack all of U.S. bases
and even if we kill Trump himself it’s not enough revenge,” Brig. Gen. Amir Ali
Hajizadeh said at the funeral. “We must totally eliminate all U.S. troops from
the region.”
For now, Iranian officials seem to be in no rush to
strike back against the United States, possibly enjoying their ability to
spread anxiety throughout the West. They seem content to bask in the
nationalist surge in their popularity, growing international sympathy and the
push to expel American troops from Iraq. “I don’t think they want to shift the
conversation yet,” said Sanam Vakil, a scholar of Iran at Chatham House, a
research center in London.
But for the hard-liners who dominate the Iranian
National Security Council, she said, some vigorous retaliation would be the
only rational response. “A nonresponse would appear weak and invite further
pressure, creating problems in domestic politics and internationally,” she
said.