Issued by CEMO Center - Paris
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Refusing peace: Cairo Declaration exposes Erdogan's intentions in Libya

Tuesday 09/June/2020 - 03:12 PM
The Reference
Shaimaa Yahya
طباعة

Turkish concerns about the Egyptian initiative launched by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi from the Ittihadiya Palace on Saturday, June 6, and agreeing to the Cairo Declaration in order to reach a political solution to the crisis and an immediate ceasefire causing bloodshed on Libyan soil as a prelude to rebuilding the country and its institutions.

 

Cairo Declaration

The Cairo Declaration called for an agreement concluded between Sisi and Libyan National Army (LNA) commander Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, alongside Libyan Parliament Speaker Aguila Saleh, to form a Libyan presidential council that would guarantee the representation of Libya’s three regions, as well as the dismantling of extremist groups.

However, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is anxious about the soft power that Egypt represents in the Libyan crisis, which contradicts his interests and ambitions to obtain the oil wealth of the Mediterranean region. Erdogan has failed to renew the Ottoman dream, control the region, and justify his interventions in Libya to help the terrorist Government of National Accord (GNA) by supporting it with militias and mercenaries.

 

Hard blow

Turkish affairs researcher Mohamed Rabie El-Daihy told the Reference that the Cairo Declaration is a devastating blow to Turkey’s ambitions in Libya, but it demonstrates to the whole world the extent of Egypt's keenness on a political solution to the Libyan crisis, unlike the Turkish role based on a military solution and support for terrorism in the country. There have been international reactions in support of the Cairo Declaration and support for the Egyptian position based on a set of foundations and criteria, the first of which is the ceasefire and the resumption of the 5+5 negotiations, as well as the need to for the militias to disband and surrender their weapons. Major countries around the world, including all European countries and the majority of Middle Eastern countries, have welcomed the Egyptian initiative.

 

Erdogan's interests damaged

Daihy added that the Turkish position rejecting this initiative came in the context of its fear of dismantling armed militias loyal to Erdogan, as well as of losing another opportunity to support the Brotherhood in the region, as Turkey considers Libya a Turkish state and the last outlet for supporting the Brotherhood in the region in order to revive the Ottoman dream. The other Turkish goal is to seize Libya’s wealth, which will also be out of reach for Ankara if a political solution is reached.

 

Claiming protection

Turkey’s presence in Libya is mainly based on the idea of supporting armed groups under the pretext of protecting the Sarraj government in exchange for Turkey’s seizure of Libya's gas wealth, as well as to annoy the European countries and Egypt through its presence in Libya. In addition, Turkey does not want Libya to lose its important position as part of the Turkish strategy to revive the Ottoman caliphate and facilitate Turkey’s infiltration into Africa.

 

Expected rejection

Daihy stressed that everyone should be aware of Turkey’s rejection of this Egyptian initiative, which is expected in light of Turkish stubbornness and Erdogan's announcement that his country will continue to send mercenaries to Libya no matter what the cost. But this stubbornness, which is now exposed to international public opinion, will eventually lead to international intervention to limit the Turkish role in Libya. The continuation of Turkey’s actions in Libya is also a direct threat to Egyptian national security, which was confirmed by President Sisi during the press conference for the Cairo Declaration. This means that the continued sending of mercenaries to Libya and Ankara’s failure to adhere to the agreement may be followed by an Egyptian intervention to protect its national security, which the Turkish regime fears, as Ankara seeks to control most of Libya by any means in order to achieve victories in the field that enable it to show off in front of its supporters at a time when they are beginning to lack confidence in Erdogan’s policies, confirming the failure of his project.


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