China Reports Nearly 60,000 Covid-Linked Deaths Since Lifting Restrictions
China said on Saturday that it had recorded nearly 60,000
fatalities linked to the coronavirus in the month since the country lifted its
strict “zero Covid” policy, accelerating an outbreak that is believed to have
infected millions of people. The disclosure was the first time China has
provided an official measure of the Covid wave now sweeping the country, and
represents a huge spike in the official death toll.
Until Saturday, China had reported a total of just 5,241
Covid deaths since the pandemic began in the city of Wuhan in late 2019. That
measure was narrowly defined as deaths from pneumonia or respiratory failure
caused by Covid. The new figure released Saturday included those who had Covid,
but also died from other underlying illnesses.
China has faced mounting criticism from other countries and
from the World Health Organization for not providing reliable data about the
extent of its Covid outbreak and about the number of deaths across the country
despite widespread scenes of overflowing hospitals, morgues and funeral homes
in recent weeks.
Before the announcement, China said that only 37 people had
died of Covid since Dec. 7, the day it ended its “zero Covid” policy.
The lack of transparency prompted several countries,
including Japan and South Korea, to impose travel curbs on Chinese visitors
after China reopened its borders last Sunday. Experts also warned that playing
down the severity of the outbreak could lead people within the country to take
fewer precautions.
China recorded 59,938 Covid-related deaths from Dec. 8 to
Jan. 12, Jiao Yahui, an official with China’s National Health Commission, said
at a news conference in Beijing. That figure included 5,503 people who died of
respiratory failure directly caused by Covid. Another 54,435 fatalities were
linked to other underlying illnesses, Ms. Jiao said.
Ms. Jiao said China was unable to release the data on
Covid-related deaths sooner because it required a comprehensive examination of
hospital reporting.
“We organized experts to conduct a systematic analysis on
the death cases, so it took a long time,” Ms. Jiao said.
It was unclear whether the new figures mean that China has
changed the way it discloses Covid deaths to include people with underlying
diseases whose conditions were worsened by the virus. Officials have maintained
that China’s official toll counts only those who died from pneumonia or
respiratory failure caused by Covid. Other countries, such as the United States
and Britain, count Covid deaths more broadly.
Experts said it was too soon to determine whether China had
changed tack, but they welcomed the move to provide more data.
“We cannot make a judgment now, but it is obviously more
reliable than the previous data saying there were only several deaths,” said
Jin Dongyan, a virologist at the University of Hong Kong. “I hope the
government will be more transparent now.”
China has narrowly counted deaths from infectious diseases
for a long time, including SARS in 2003 and seasonal flu. But during the
Shanghai lockdown in the spring of 2022, the authorities made an exception and
used a looser definition to justify the lengthy confinement of residents. Of
the 588 Covid deaths the Shanghai city government reported at that time, one
was ascribed to a heart attack, and the rest to “underlying conditions” or
“tumors.” Despite this inconsistency, the National Health Commission has never expunged
those deaths from the national toll on Covid deaths.
Ben Cowling, an epidemiologist at the University of Hong
Kong, said the actual death toll in China, like that in every country, was
almost certainly higher. He said that China could have provided more reliable
data on death and infection rates if it had tested hospital patients more
vigorously.
“The one thing which is a bit surprising is that China has
so much testing capacity but hasn’t been using it to confirm Covid in
hospitalized patients,” Mr. Cowling said.
The National Health Commission’s data confirmed longstanding
fears that China’s older population would be hit hard by an outbreak because so
many did not receive enough vaccine doses. Of the nearly 60,000 fatalities,
56.5 percent involved someone at least 80 years old.
Covid deaths are a particularly sensitive political issue in
China, because Xi Jinping, the country’s top leader, had championed a strategy
of harsh lockdowns, quarantines and mass testing to try to contain the virus.
Mr. Xi boasted that the model could be adopted by other countries after it
proved successful in suppressing transmission early in the pandemic.
As the highly infectious Omicron variant picked up steam
last year, however, that strategy became untenable. As cases steadily rose
across the country, protests erupted in November as more people grew weary of
the Covid restrictions. Already under major economic strain, China then
abruptly reversed its “zero Covid” policy without providing an opportunity for
the country to stock up on medicine.
Officials have said in recent days that infections have
peaked in major cities, though concern is growing about how the current
coronavirus wave will affect the nation’s countryside, which has a far weaker
health care system compared with China’s cities.